Fitzgerald's Fire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (13 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (American): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1284 | 1124 | 72% | 2020-10-22 | Lost |
979 | 1026 | 43% | 2016-08-03 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
952 | 1067 | 34% | 2014-01-13 | Won |
1108 | 988 | 67% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
1115 | 953 | 72% | 2011-08-12 | Lost |
1172 | 1142 | 54% | 2011-01-20 | Lost |
1043 | 1093 | 43% | 2011-01-09 | Won |
1089 | 1197 | 35% | 2009-07-05 | Lost |
988 | 1115 | 32% | 2009-04-05 | Won |
972 | 1003 | 46% | 2008-09-27 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1061.6 vs 1040.2 has a 53.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).