Fighting at World's Edge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (13 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Norwegian / French ): 18
Defender wins (German): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
1103 | 1083 | 53% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2020-06-07 | Won |
1030 | 1039 | 49% | 2020-05-18 | Lost |
998 | 998 | 50% | 2019-04-15 | Lost |
924 | 1006 | 38% | 2018-12-06 | Lost |
1158 | 1012 | 70% | 2018-07-05 | Won |
1026 | 1036 | 49% | 2015-07-18 | Lost |
1057 | 1081 | 47% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
988 | 1133 | 30% | 2011-02-20 | Won |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2009-12-03 | Won |
956 | 1108 | 29% | 2009-12-02 | Won |
989 | 984 | 51% | 2009-11-11 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1013 vs 1034.9 has a 46.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).