Disaster on the Dnieper Loop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (4 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 1063 | 45% | 2021-09-13 | Won |
1172 | 1142 | 54% | 2017-11-30 | Won |
1013 | 1010 | 50% | 2013-05-05 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2009-04-03 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1028.8 vs 1035 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).