Prelim to Death Night
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 56 (11 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 26
Defender wins (American): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
919 | 945 | 46% | 2021-10-11 | Lost |
1285 | 964 | 86% | 2021-10-02 | Won |
925 | 1196 | 17% | 2021-08-01 | Lost |
1284 | 971 | 86% | 2020-03-29 | Won |
1008 | 1131 | 33% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
997 | 1029 | 45% | 2020-01-29 | Lost |
900 | 1056 | 29% | 2019-11-13 | Won |
1056 | 900 | 71% | 2019-11-12 | Lost |
978 | 963 | 52% | 2013-07-10 | Lost |
1097 | 869 | 79% | 2012-11-04 | Won |
975 | 1071 | 37% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1038.5 vs 1008.6 has a 54.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).