Der Letzte Geburtstag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (10 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 31
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1087 | 971 | 66% | 2023-04-24 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
966 | 1160 | 25% | 2016-12-30 | Lost |
917 | 1090 | 27% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
999 | 1030 | 46% | 2010-05-16 | Won |
1149 | 1307 | 29% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
1019 | 1228 | 23% | 2009-10-29 | Lost |
1228 | 1019 | 77% | 2009-10-29 | Won |
1019 | 972 | 57% | 2009-10-23 | Won |
1114 | 1108 | 51% | 2009-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1042.3 vs 1108.9 has a 40.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).