On the Road to Andalsnes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (7 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Norwegian): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2022-08-18 | Lost |
991 | 1153 | 28% | 2020-11-27 | Lost |
1090 | 977 | 66% | 2018-05-12 | Lost |
1109 | 1094 | 52% | 2017-12-08 | Won |
972 | 949 | 53% | 2014-11-28 | Won |
1028 | 1036 | 49% | 2013-05-19 | Won |
989 | 950 | 56% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1029.3 vs 1021.7 has a 51.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).