Grebbe End
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (18 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (Dutch): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1044 | 1012 | 55% | 2023-05-19 | Lost |
1144 | 940 | 76% | 2022-11-16 | Won |
1108 | 1004 | 65% | 2021-06-12 | Lost |
1109 | 1009 | 64% | 2019-05-21 | Won |
939 | 1137 | 24% | 2019-05-11 | Won |
1090 | 977 | 66% | 2018-01-12 | Won |
850 | 1008 | 29% | 2017-12-15 | Lost |
970 | 1013 | 44% | 2017-09-23 | Won |
1005 | 1115 | 35% | 2016-03-01 | Lost |
887 | 1051 | 28% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
992 | 1307 | 14% | 2015-02-11 | Lost |
991 | 961 | 54% | 2015-01-18 | Lost |
1095 | 816 | 83% | 2014-11-21 | Lost |
880 | 1095 | 22% | 2014-11-16 | Won |
920 | 980 | 41% | 2014-04-19 | Won |
1012 | 1058 | 43% | 2014-02-05 | Lost |
973 | 1033 | 41% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
937 | 989 | 43% | 2010-07-19 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 997 vs 1028.1 has a 45.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).