Last Push To Mozhaisk
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (18 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (Russian): 65
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-10-14 | Won |
1035 | 977 | 58% | 2023-02-02 | Won |
924 | 950 | 46% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
991 | 1045 | 42% | 2020-08-22 | Lost |
868 | 847 | 53% | 2015-06-07 | Won |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2015-02-08 | Lost |
1098 | 1097 | 50% | 2013-10-07 | Lost |
1125 | 1024 | 64% | 2011-03-12 | Lost |
1003 | 994 | 51% | 2011-03-11 | Lost |
1131 | 1227 | 37% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
989 | 868 | 67% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2010-09-13 | Lost |
1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2010-08-02 | Lost |
838 | 1095 | 19% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-06-12 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
1036 | 1093 | 42% | 2010-05-28 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1026.9 vs 1033.8 has a 49.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).