Desobry Defiant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (11 on the archive and 65 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1284 | 1050 | 79% | 2019-12-27 | Won |
1068 | 816 | 81% | 2018-12-12 | Won |
1242 | 1012 | 79% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
1307 | 1098 | 77% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
977 | 895 | 62% | 2016-04-18 | Won |
1172 | 1142 | 54% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2015-12-23 | Won |
984 | 1032 | 43% | 2010-12-03 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2010-10-14 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2010-06-15 | Won |
985 | 1043 | 42% | 2010-06-08 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1103.4 vs 1022.7 has a 61.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).