The Riley Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (8 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 26
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
858 | 1051 | 25% | 2015-09-11 | Lost |
1049 | 990 | 58% | 2013-11-20 | Lost |
1006 | 1144 | 31% | 2013-08-05 | Lost |
991 | 988 | 50% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
992 | 1307 | 14% | 2011-12-27 | Lost |
1001 | 989 | 52% | 2011-02-16 | Won |
1097 | 1043 | 58% | 2010-09-18 | Lost |
1110 | 1017 | 63% | 2010-08-20 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1013 vs 1066.1 has a 42.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).