Stairway to Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (5 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Republican): 7
Defender wins (Nationalist): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1093 | 940 | 71% | 2023-11-02 | Won |
1165 | 1165 | 50% | 2023-03-29 | Won |
1204 | 1155 | 57% | 2018-02-07 | Lost |
1081 | 1087 | 49% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
944 | 1204 | 18% | 2011-02-28 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1097.4 vs 1110.2 has a 48.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).