Messervy's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 98 (20 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 43
Defender wins (Italian): 55
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1016 | 1360 | 12% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
980 | 1204 | 22% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
950 | 1026 | 39% | 2022-07-09 | Lost |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2022-02-12 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
861 | 1109 | 19% | 2019-11-03 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
1019 | 1010 | 51% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
1027 | 1108 | 39% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
1036 | 1043 | 49% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
948 | 1063 | 34% | 2013-08-18 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
920 | 989 | 40% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
977 | 1009 | 45% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
1062 | 1058 | 51% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
895 | 937 | 44% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
748 | 977 | 21% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
955 | 1087 | 32% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 990.3 vs 1060.1 has a 40.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).