Penny Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (12 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (American): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
934 | 989 | 42% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
824 | 977 | 29% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
1021 | 1013 | 51% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
1284 | 1149 | 69% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
1095 | 1128 | 45% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
986 | 1050 | 41% | 2012-06-28 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2011-08-15 | Won |
1019 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-06-27 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1047 vs 1059.2 has a 48.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).