Raiders Along the Wall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (18 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 15
Defender wins (American): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
989 | 989 | 50% | 2021-08-22 | Lost |
950 | 1113 | 28% | 2021-06-04 | Lost |
1045 | 990 | 58% | 2020-09-25 | Lost |
1152 | 1118 | 55% | 2020-08-29 | Won |
1040 | 950 | 63% | 2020-03-21 | Lost |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2019-03-19 | Lost |
1009 | 1131 | 33% | 2019-03-19 | Lost |
1026 | 950 | 61% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
1026 | 950 | 61% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2016-05-23 | Lost |
1131 | 1009 | 67% | 2016-05-23 | Lost |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2016-05-10 | Won |
1009 | 1131 | 33% | 2016-05-10 | Won |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2016-05-03 | Lost |
1009 | 1131 | 33% | 2016-05-03 | Lost |
950 | 978 | 46% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
1429 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-08-17 | Won |
1138 | 1135 | 50% | 2012-08-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1052.4 vs 1044.7 has a 51.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).