Death Rattle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 50 (21 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 23
Defender wins (German): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
872 | 981 | 35% | 2024-03-15 | Lost |
1033 | 1040 | 49% | 2024-02-24 | Lost |
1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2024-02-23 | Won |
1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2023-12-10 | Won |
1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2022-10-22 | Lost |
877 | 918 | 44% | 2022-09-03 | Won |
1186 | 920 | 82% | 2022-05-31 | Lost |
1152 | 981 | 73% | 2022-02-27 | Won |
1037 | 961 | 61% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
1052 | 1014 | 55% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
1061 | 864 | 76% | 2020-01-17 | Won |
1006 | 967 | 56% | 2019-07-21 | Won |
1029 | 945 | 62% | 2017-06-09 | Lost |
1044 | 1054 | 49% | 2015-10-05 | Won |
945 | 1023 | 39% | 2015-01-30 | Lost |
945 | 1023 | 39% | 2015-01-30 | Lost |
1105 | 1267 | 28% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
943 | 943 | 50% | 2011-11-21 | Lost |
1052 | 943 | 65% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
943 | 1052 | 35% | 2011-02-08 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1017.6 vs 999 has a 52.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).