Three Card Monty
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (3 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 6
Defender wins (German (SS)): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
951 | 1108 | 29% | 2012-07-28 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2012-01-28 | Won |
1058 | 1087 | 46% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 978 vs 1033 has a 42.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).