Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (12 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1030 | 931 | 64% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
998 | 1277 | 17% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
788 | 1062 | 17% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
1065 | 1127 | 41% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
1065 | 1065 | 50% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
1079 | 1079 | 50% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
1123 | 979 | 70% | 2014-09-23 | Won |
1009 | 861 | 70% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
895 | 937 | 44% | 2012-01-17 | Won |
1109 | 913 | 76% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
1124 | 1060 | 59% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1028.9 vs 1024.3 has a 50.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).