Early Morning Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (26 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 56
Defender wins (Russian): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
961 | 961 | 50% | 2020-09-03 | Won |
1093 | 780 | 86% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
1128 | 994 | 68% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
978 | 1013 | 45% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
1013 | 988 | 54% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
1013 | 1025 | 48% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
1013 | 960 | 58% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
1063 | 1108 | 44% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
1061 | 1307 | 20% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
869 | 887 | 47% | 2015-11-22 | Lost |
1042 | 1087 | 44% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
1327 | 1068 | 82% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
1019 | 959 | 59% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
1001 | 1050 | 43% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
1008 | 1138 | 32% | 2013-04-30 | Won |
994 | 1266 | 17% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
1062 | 1228 | 28% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
985 | 987 | 50% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2012-12-13 | Won |
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
1089 | 1083 | 51% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
1307 | 1213 | 63% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
1135 | 952 | 74% | 2012-01-19 | Won |
1055 | 1108 | 42% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1054.2 vs 1060.8 has a 49.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).