Crossfire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 101 (20 on the archive and 81 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 41
Defender wins (German): 59
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1049 | 1128 | 39% | 2024-04-04 | Lost |
1011 | 917 | 63% | 2022-05-21 | Lost |
961 | 943 | 53% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2021-09-11 | Lost |
1168 | 1183 | 48% | 2021-09-09 | Lost |
1327 | 1209 | 66% | 2016-09-04 | Lost |
1067 | 1045 | 53% | 2015-10-23 | Tied |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2015-06-08 | Lost |
1016 | 1036 | 47% | 2015-02-02 | Lost |
1032 | 984 | 57% | 2014-06-22 | Lost |
1025 | 1068 | 44% | 2013-10-20 | Lost |
963 | 1068 | 35% | 2012-12-23 | Lost |
1022 | 994 | 54% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
1189 | 989 | 76% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
1008 | 1087 | 39% | 2012-08-31 | Lost |
1115 | 1105 | 51% | 2012-08-01 | Lost |
1086 | 977 | 65% | 2012-04-20 | Won |
933 | 920 | 52% | 2012-03-19 | Lost |
1095 | 816 | 83% | 2012-02-21 | Lost |
1005 | 987 | 53% | 2012-02-11 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1054.9 vs 1036.6 has a 52.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).