The Heat is On
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (9 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 27
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1006 | 1049 | 44% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
1146 | 1284 | 31% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2017-08-06 | Lost |
1095 | 1080 | 52% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
975 | 989 | 48% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
1068 | 1167 | 36% | 2012-07-04 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2012-02-07 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1041.8 vs 1080.8 has a 44.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).