Uncles and Pups
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 99 (29 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 38
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)/ German (SS)): 60
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
800 | 1083 | 16% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
954 | 1032 | 39% | 2022-02-27 | Lost |
1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2022-01-10 | Won |
964 | 983 | 47% | 2021-04-20 | Tied |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2020-12-19 | Lost |
1124 | 1284 | 28% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
1094 | 1284 | 25% | 2019-06-10 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
1198 | 856 | 88% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
1027 | 1056 | 46% | 2018-10-01 | Won |
850 | 992 | 31% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
1225 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-06-06 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
1029 | 1158 | 32% | 2017-01-10 | Won |
1138 | 1008 | 68% | 2016-06-07 | Lost |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2015-02-27 | Lost |
887 | 1051 | 28% | 2015-01-28 | Won |
1275 | 1227 | 57% | 2014-09-01 | Lost |
1055 | 1109 | 42% | 2014-05-07 | Lost |
1131 | 1049 | 62% | 2013-07-15 | Won |
1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2012-09-10 | Lost |
865 | 1093 | 21% | 2012-07-02 | Won |
896 | 959 | 41% | 2012-07-01 | Won |
1144 | 983 | 72% | 2012-05-29 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2012-05-10 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-05-05 | Won |
963 | 953 | 51% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2012-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1051.8 has a 47.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).