The Devil's Free to Have a Try
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (20 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German (SS)): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
948 | 966 | 47% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
960 | 1085 | 33% | 2023-04-06 | Won |
1109 | 1090 | 53% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
1284 | 1124 | 72% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2020-07-07 | Won |
1284 | 1085 | 76% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
1198 | 856 | 88% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
1225 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-06-07 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2017-04-01 | Lost |
1158 | 1087 | 60% | 2014-12-05 | Won |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
1227 | 1275 | 43% | 2014-09-15 | Lost |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
937 | 982 | 44% | 2013-01-06 | Lost |
950 | 1144 | 25% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
1144 | 950 | 75% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2012-06-10 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1093.4 vs 1038.1 has a 57.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).