HKL 259
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (16 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 17
Defender wins (Hungarian / German (SS)): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2022-06-27 | Won |
1026 | 1204 | 26% | 2021-10-20 | Lost |
1124 | 1284 | 28% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
1284 | 1084 | 76% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
850 | 1284 | 8% | 2019-09-11 | Lost |
1204 | 856 | 88% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
1284 | 1099 | 74% | 2018-04-20 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2017-07-18 | Lost |
1176 | 949 | 79% | 2016-11-22 | Won |
1138 | 989 | 70% | 2015-01-27 | Won |
1227 | 1275 | 43% | 2014-12-19 | Won |
881 | 914 | 45% | 2012-10-04 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-09-01 | Lost |
992 | 1070 | 39% | 2012-03-07 | Lost |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-02-12 | Lost |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2012-01-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1062.3 vs 1063.4 has a 49.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).