For Want of Either Crust or Crumb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (5 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1284 | 1124 | 72% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
1198 | 856 | 88% | 2019-01-25 | Won |
861 | 1008 | 30% | 2015-03-03 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2014-03-31 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1058 vs 1047.8 has a 51.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).