It's Hardly Fair
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (19 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (American): 53
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-01-16 | Won |
1197 | 1100 | 64% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
1029 | 1028 | 50% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
992 | 975 | 52% | 2017-08-19 | Won |
1013 | 1063 | 43% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
1026 | 1160 | 32% | 2015-11-11 | Lost |
1016 | 1109 | 37% | 2014-09-25 | Lost |
988 | 1029 | 44% | 2014-02-11 | Lost |
933 | 980 | 43% | 2014-01-28 | Lost |
918 | 1108 | 25% | 2013-04-04 | Lost |
989 | 933 | 58% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
1144 | 984 | 72% | 2013-03-01 | Won |
984 | 978 | 51% | 2013-02-10 | Won |
945 | 1108 | 28% | 2013-01-13 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1004.6 vs 1025.6 has a 46.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).