The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (13 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 30
Defender wins (German): 46
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2023-09-19 | Lost |
1023 | 1028 | 49% | 2022-11-29 | Lost |
930 | 1035 | 35% | 2020-07-17 | Lost |
992 | 1327 | 13% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
1010 | 1160 | 30% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2015-03-03 | Won |
1147 | 1037 | 65% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
1085 | 887 | 76% | 2014-10-09 | Won |
1225 | 967 | 82% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
1125 | 1126 | 50% | 2013-11-15 | Lost |
1087 | 985 | 64% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
984 | 1112 | 32% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
1097 | 1052 | 56% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1083.1 vs 1083.5 has a 49.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).