Adolf's Amateurs
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (21 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 45
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
998 | 998 | 50% | 2024-04-09 | Won |
961 | 1073 | 34% | 2024-04-07 | Lost |
961 | 1061 | 36% | 2024-02-06 | Lost |
838 | 937 | 36% | 2023-10-04 | Won |
1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2023-02-23 | Lost |
1006 | 1110 | 35% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
1139 | 1327 | 25% | 2022-09-04 | Lost |
1168 | 1000 | 72% | 2022-01-19 | Won |
941 | 1093 | 29% | 2021-08-31 | Won |
1292 | 1034 | 82% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
998 | 969 | 54% | 2019-09-15 | Lost |
850 | 1327 | 6% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2017-06-02 | Lost |
1029 | 890 | 69% | 2017-04-20 | Won |
887 | 962 | 39% | 2016-01-29 | Won |
989 | 929 | 59% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
1026 | 984 | 56% | 2014-06-20 | Lost |
1068 | 1142 | 40% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
989 | 1021 | 45% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1051 | 989 | 59% | 2013-05-13 | Lost |
980 | 994 | 48% | 2013-04-12 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1017.2 vs 1050.5 has a 45.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).