The Rag Tag Circus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (3 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 10
Defender wins (German): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1010 | 1027 | 48% | 2022-05-17 | Won |
1115 | 1028 | 62% | 2019-07-16 | Won |
973 | 1204 | 21% | 2016-05-05 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1032.7 vs 1086.3 has a 42.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).