The Red Hammer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2015-08-15 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
1176 | 1097 | 61% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
1176 | 1097 | 61% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
1078 | 1225 | 30% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
1097 | 980 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1063 | 1016 | 57% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
1142 | 1015 | 68% | 2013-10-06 | Lost |
977 | 1080 | 36% | 2011-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1095.4 vs 1098.3 has a 49.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).