Ivan and the Three Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1028 | 1085 | 42% | 2022-08-04 | Won |
1284 | 950 | 87% | 2017-05-19 | Won |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
987 | 1225 | 20% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1068 | 1063 | 51% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
1138 | 1142 | 49% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
989 | 1058 | 40% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1059.9 vs 1072.4 has a 48.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).