Hoepner's Edict
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 20
Defender wins (French): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1144 | 1225 | 39% | 2017-05-13 | Lost |
1144 | 984 | 72% | 2017-05-06 | Lost |
1000 | 994 | 51% | 2017-03-05 | Won |
1006 | 1115 | 35% | 2016-10-23 | Tied |
1089 | 1063 | 54% | 2015-03-28 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2014-04-26 | Won |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2013-11-01 | Lost |
1197 | 884 | 86% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
1284 | 1097 | 75% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
1140 | 1142 | 50% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1115.4 vs 1065.9 has a 57.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).