Heart of Wilderness
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (12 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (German): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
942 | 1006 | 41% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
1049 | 1006 | 56% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
922 | 1049 | 32% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
1030 | 1037 | 49% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
1062 | 1112 | 43% | 2020-05-01 | Lost |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
1167 | 1095 | 60% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
1110 | 1095 | 52% | 2017-06-30 | Won |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2015-03-16 | Won |
980 | 1284 | 15% | 2014-12-08 | Lost |
817 | 977 | 28% | 2014-06-21 | Won |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2014-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1010.2 vs 1077 has a 40.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).