To Have And To Hold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (8 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1055 | 1032 | 53% | 2021-01-07 | Won |
1026 | 1063 | 45% | 2019-08-03 | Won |
873 | 1160 | 16% | 2018-06-16 | Lost |
1017 | 917 | 64% | 2017-03-19 | Lost |
1003 | 1063 | 41% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
1037 | 1131 | 37% | 2015-04-02 | Lost |
972 | 1110 | 31% | 2015-01-30 | Won |
897 | 977 | 39% | 2014-09-20 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 985 vs 1056.6 has a 39.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).