Liberation Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (20 on the archive and 47 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1189 | 1197 | 49% | 2024-04-18 | Lost |
1049 | 1144 | 37% | 2024-04-08 | Lost |
949 | 949 | 50% | 2023-07-19 | Lost |
1030 | 1037 | 49% | 2023-04-05 | Won |
1087 | 1133 | 43% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
1011 | 938 | 60% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
1198 | 1026 | 73% | 2019-03-30 | Won |
948 | 969 | 47% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
948 | 969 | 47% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
959 | 1090 | 32% | 2018-05-22 | Lost |
1097 | 1115 | 47% | 2018-02-03 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2015-10-07 | Lost |
1052 | 1142 | 37% | 2015-09-05 | Lost |
983 | 1144 | 28% | 2015-08-24 | Won |
1307 | 1189 | 66% | 2015-08-23 | Lost |
909 | 1327 | 8% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
1225 | 1106 | 66% | 2015-03-14 | Won |
1070 | 1078 | 49% | 2015-01-17 | Lost |
1175 | 987 | 75% | 2015-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1082.7 has a 47.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).