Death on the Eismeer Strasse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (12 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1180 | 1327 | 30% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
980 | 1070 | 37% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
1032 | 1058 | 46% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
1020 | 929 | 63% | 2019-07-21 | Lost |
1119 | 1075 | 56% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
1204 | 1155 | 57% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
890 | 992 | 36% | 2016-02-24 | Lost |
1287 | 1314 | 46% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
1011 | 928 | 62% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
917 | 1017 | 36% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
1285 | 980 | 85% | 2015-08-03 | Lost |
980 | 1285 | 15% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1075.4 vs 1094.2 has a 47.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).