Ciao Gurkha Ciao!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Gurkha): 22
Defender wins (Italian): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
925 | 930 | 49% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
1013 | 939 | 60% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
1008 | 983 | 54% | 2019-05-18 | Lost |
983 | 1008 | 46% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2018-06-15 | Won |
1109 | 916 | 75% | 2018-05-13 | Won |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2017-01-01 | Lost |
1047 | 1087 | 44% | 2016-12-14 | Lost |
1144 | 1006 | 69% | 2016-01-04 | Won |
1307 | 988 | 86% | 2015-10-23 | Won |
1098 | 1307 | 23% | 2015-10-23 | Lost |
1068 | 992 | 61% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1064.1 vs 1027.8 has a 55.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).