Deadly Assumption
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (11 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
1228 | 994 | 79% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
1052 | 1088 | 45% | 2023-02-03 | Lost |
1171 | 1183 | 48% | 2023-01-31 | Won |
780 | 865 | 38% | 2020-09-16 | Won |
1027 | 1010 | 52% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
1307 | 1061 | 80% | 2018-05-04 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2017-09-04 | Won |
984 | 1108 | 33% | 2016-08-06 | Lost |
1108 | 1069 | 56% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
876 | 977 | 36% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1037.5 vs 1046.6 has a 48.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).