Engineering Defeat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (25 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (Polish): 39
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
985 | 1204 | 22% | 2024-03-15 | Won |
949 | 1176 | 21% | 2023-10-24 | Lost |
1051 | 1012 | 56% | 2023-04-16 | Won |
1024 | 953 | 60% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
1024 | 953 | 60% | 2023-03-30 | Lost |
982 | 917 | 59% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2022-04-05 | Lost |
929 | 1171 | 20% | 2021-09-01 | Won |
980 | 1029 | 43% | 2021-09-01 | Lost |
1028 | 1327 | 15% | 2021-06-20 | Lost |
978 | 1284 | 15% | 2020-07-23 | Lost |
977 | 862 | 66% | 2020-06-15 | Lost |
1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2020-06-06 | Lost |
1012 | 871 | 69% | 2019-03-23 | Lost |
1160 | 1126 | 55% | 2019-03-16 | Won |
1100 | 1055 | 56% | 2018-10-19 | Won |
1087 | 971 | 66% | 2017-12-01 | Won |
1204 | 942 | 82% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
899 | 942 | 44% | 2017-07-16 | Won |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2017-03-13 | Won |
1033 | 1063 | 46% | 2016-07-14 | Won |
1204 | 1041 | 72% | 2016-07-12 | Won |
1149 | 1050 | 64% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2016-05-13 | Won |
896 | 977 | 39% | 2012-12-27 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1044.9 vs 1051.8 has a 49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).