A Bitter Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (11 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 20
Defender wins (German): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
979 | 1024 | 44% | 2023-04-06 | Lost |
1065 | 1016 | 57% | 2023-03-11 | Tied |
1121 | 980 | 69% | 2021-08-17 | Lost |
1041 | 1058 | 48% | 2020-05-29 | Lost |
942 | 1204 | 18% | 2019-05-05 | Lost |
1191 | 1115 | 61% | 2018-05-21 | Lost |
992 | 1176 | 26% | 2017-07-28 | Lost |
1086 | 1307 | 22% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
1160 | 938 | 78% | 2016-08-29 | Won |
873 | 1160 | 16% | 2016-08-27 | Lost |
1033 | 1063 | 46% | 2016-07-07 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1094.6 has a 42.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).