The Spearhead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (8 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 2
Defender wins (German): 21
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
804 | 1166 | 11% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
960 | 1285 | 13% | 2019-10-18 | Lost |
942 | 1204 | 18% | 2019-06-02 | Lost |
1127 | 1242 | 34% | 2018-05-20 | Lost |
1155 | 1204 | 43% | 2016-06-27 | Lost |
1063 | 1025 | 55% | 2016-06-11 | Lost |
990 | 1033 | 44% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1005.1 vs 1155.8 has a 29.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).