Iron Greeting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (27 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 60
Defender wins (Russian): 36
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
956 | 949 | 51% | 2024-01-30 | Won |
1106 | 1152 | 43% | 2023-07-13 | Lost |
1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
930 | 938 | 49% | 2021-09-06 | Won |
986 | 1087 | 36% | 2021-06-18 | Lost |
1171 | 1183 | 48% | 2020-12-18 | Won |
920 | 892 | 54% | 2020-06-12 | Won |
942 | 1204 | 18% | 2019-12-15 | Won |
1176 | 1026 | 70% | 2019-10-06 | Won |
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
1115 | 1053 | 59% | 2018-10-22 | Lost |
958 | 989 | 46% | 2018-10-19 | Lost |
1176 | 1026 | 70% | 2018-10-03 | Won |
988 | 992 | 49% | 2017-12-26 | Won |
1013 | 1017 | 49% | 2017-09-09 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-02-17 | Lost |
1284 | 917 | 89% | 2017-01-16 | Won |
1360 | 1058 | 85% | 2016-09-04 | Won |
1273 | 1327 | 42% | 2016-09-03 | Won |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2016-08-10 | Won |
1327 | 1012 | 86% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
1010 | 1013 | 50% | 2016-07-29 | Won |
973 | 1063 | 37% | 2016-07-09 | Lost |
1050 | 1149 | 36% | 2016-06-13 | Won |
1176 | 1160 | 52% | 2016-03-29 | Won |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
887 | 1138 | 19% | 2016-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1088.2 vs 1066.3 has a 53.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).