Defiance on Hill 30
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (33 on the archive and 38 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (American): 43
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2024-01-29 | Won |
984 | 1013 | 46% | 2023-09-23 | Lost |
1030 | 1024 | 51% | 2023-03-27 | Lost |
1020 | 1013 | 51% | 2023-02-12 | Lost |
1042 | 1024 | 53% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
1032 | 1024 | 51% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
1040 | 1013 | 54% | 2022-03-08 | Won |
994 | 963 | 54% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
984 | 984 | 50% | 2022-02-19 | Lost |
1109 | 1218 | 35% | 2022-01-27 | Won |
943 | 919 | 53% | 2021-08-26 | Lost |
1160 | 917 | 80% | 2021-07-09 | Won |
998 | 917 | 61% | 2021-07-05 | Won |
920 | 892 | 54% | 2021-01-30 | Won |
1012 | 1242 | 21% | 2020-11-27 | Lost |
1021 | 1007 | 52% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
1035 | 1119 | 38% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
1090 | 917 | 73% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
920 | 892 | 54% | 2020-02-24 | Lost |
1159 | 1034 | 67% | 2019-12-06 | Won |
1026 | 985 | 56% | 2019-06-07 | Lost |
1013 | 1011 | 50% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
998 | 1031 | 45% | 2018-08-22 | Lost |
1037 | 1109 | 40% | 2018-06-18 | Lost |
890 | 885 | 51% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
1019 | 1013 | 51% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
955 | 931 | 53% | 2017-01-13 | Lost |
1204 | 1092 | 66% | 2016-11-13 | Won |
868 | 847 | 53% | 2016-10-15 | Won |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2016-09-27 | Lost |
917 | 931 | 48% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
1049 | 931 | 66% | 2016-01-26 | Won |
991 | 1160 | 27% | 2013-12-29 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1014.5 vs 1009 has a 50.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).