Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (17 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (German): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1030 | 1012 | 53% | 2024-02-08 | Won |
971 | 1044 | 40% | 2023-03-01 | Lost |
973 | 858 | 66% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
1040 | 1013 | 54% | 2022-05-01 | Won |
973 | 937 | 55% | 2021-03-18 | Lost |
1153 | 937 | 78% | 2021-03-16 | Won |
1159 | 937 | 78% | 2021-03-15 | Won |
937 | 1065 | 32% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
892 | 920 | 46% | 2021-02-11 | Lost |
919 | 892 | 54% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
852 | 977 | 33% | 2020-02-14 | Won |
1009 | 1131 | 33% | 2019-10-17 | Lost |
998 | 934 | 59% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
906 | 949 | 44% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
973 | 1006 | 45% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
1092 | 1006 | 62% | 2016-10-29 | Lost |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2016-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 993.2 vs 990.8 has a 50.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).