Under the Noel Trees
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (18 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
952 | 984 | 45% | 2023-09-20 | Won |
1050 | 1021 | 54% | 2023-09-02 | Won |
1197 | 1172 | 54% | 2023-04-13 | Won |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2022-11-23 | Lost |
917 | 973 | 42% | 2022-09-20 | Won |
919 | 892 | 54% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
1013 | 1063 | 43% | 2021-05-21 | Lost |
986 | 972 | 52% | 2020-12-03 | Won |
1058 | 1031 | 54% | 2020-09-27 | Lost |
862 | 977 | 34% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-03-03 | Won |
991 | 1160 | 27% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2018-03-28 | Won |
1109 | 1109 | 50% | 2018-03-26 | Lost |
1058 | 966 | 63% | 2018-02-04 | Lost |
1284 | 889 | 91% | 2017-06-07 | Won |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-02-10 | Lost |
1100 | 1030 | 60% | 2016-09-21 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1035.4 vs 1034.8 has a 50.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).