The Niscemi-Biscari Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (29 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (American): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
961 | 966 | 49% | 2024-02-29 | Lost |
1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
881 | 1013 | 32% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2023-08-06 | Won |
959 | 1012 | 42% | 2023-02-18 | Lost |
1012 | 1035 | 47% | 2022-11-19 | Won |
1425 | 1429 | 49% | 2022-11-18 | Lost |
917 | 1072 | 29% | 2022-08-20 | Lost |
1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
1429 | 925 | 95% | 2022-02-01 | Won |
1005 | 917 | 62% | 2022-01-31 | Lost |
919 | 892 | 54% | 2022-01-29 | Lost |
878 | 1056 | 26% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
917 | 1160 | 20% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
1160 | 917 | 80% | 2022-01-05 | Won |
967 | 1087 | 33% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
889 | 977 | 38% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
1027 | 1010 | 52% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
1058 | 1041 | 52% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2020-01-30 | Lost |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2019-03-05 | Won |
1109 | 1037 | 60% | 2018-09-20 | Won |
1327 | 1108 | 78% | 2018-03-19 | Won |
1087 | 1028 | 58% | 2017-08-13 | Lost |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-05-18 | Lost |
1082 | 989 | 63% | 2016-10-08 | Won |
862 | 980 | 34% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
883 | 980 | 36% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1027.1 vs 1041.9 has a 47.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).