The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42 (15 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 25
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
998 | 959 | 56% | 2023-07-29 | Won |
998 | 998 | 50% | 2022-11-29 | Won |
1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2022-09-25 | Lost |
983 | 881 | 64% | 2021-11-10 | Tied |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-09-20 | Won |
910 | 959 | 43% | 2021-06-19 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2021-05-17 | Won |
1327 | 987 | 88% | 2020-06-10 | Lost |
998 | 962 | 55% | 2019-06-08 | Won |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2019-06-03 | Won |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
1108 | 879 | 79% | 2018-01-03 | Won |
1007 | 1225 | 22% | 2017-09-28 | Won |
1092 | 983 | 65% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1038.2 vs 990.5 has a 56.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).