De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (11 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 22
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2024-04-13 | Lost |
1012 | 993 | 53% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
838 | 1095 | 19% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
1056 | 980 | 61% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
971 | 1109 | 31% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
1121 | 1307 | 26% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
938 | 1327 | 10% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 981.7 vs 1096.2 has a 34.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).