Propitious Arrival
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (3 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (French): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1010 | 1027 | 48% | 2024-04-28 | Lost |
1129 | 911 | 78% | 2019-05-18 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1021.3 vs 1047.3 has a 46.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).