Taking Some Flak
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (12 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 15
Defender wins (German (SS)): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
886 | 1055 | 27% | 2024-04-04 | Won |
954 | 935 | 53% | 2023-08-03 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-07-01 | Won |
703 | 1043 | 12% | 2022-08-15 | Tied |
857 | 857 | 50% | 2022-03-27 | Won |
882 | 985 | 36% | 2020-03-14 | Lost |
1149 | 1120 | 54% | 2019-05-31 | Lost |
1041 | 886 | 71% | 2017-05-07 | Lost |
1203 | 1077 | 67% | 2017-04-02 | Won |
1013 | 937 | 61% | 2017-03-21 | Lost |
1212 | 1166 | 57% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
1213 | 883 | 87% | 2017-03-15 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1009.4 vs 995.3 has a 52.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).