The Cost of Non-Compliance
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (18 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (German): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1142 | 1142 | 50% | 2021-12-27 | Won |
972 | 1292 | 14% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
780 | 886 | 35% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
1049 | 1144 | 37% | 2021-02-04 | Lost |
1029 | 993 | 55% | 2019-04-21 | Won |
1198 | 1002 | 76% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2018-02-17 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2017-11-07 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2017-07-22 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2017-07-19 | Lost |
1225 | 1171 | 58% | 2017-05-06 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
861 | 1008 | 30% | 2017-03-25 | Lost |
1027 | 1013 | 52% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
1307 | 1226 | 61% | 2017-03-12 | Lost |
1327 | 1209 | 66% | 2017-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1044.7 vs 1077.2 has a 45.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).